According to cryptanalyst EGRAG CRYPTO, Bitcoin is now right at the 21-day exponential moving average (21 EMA), which has served as the dividing line between bull and bear markets for over a decade.
Since 2013, every major cycle has followed this signal without exception, making the current retest one of the most important moments in Bitcoin’s trend in 2025.
According to the analyst, when this level is maintained, the flagship kriptovalyuta historically continues to rise, and when it is broken, the market becomes bearish.
EGRAG emphasized that Bitcoin has never entered a bearish trend without a full monthly candle closing below the 21 EMA. This makes the current retest extremely important for traders tracking long-term momentum. According to the analyst, «the chart speaks louder than emotion.»
As the monthly candle approaches its close, BTC is now at a turning point. A rebound in this case would be consistent with all previous cycles. However, a breakout would represent something the market hasn’t seen in over a decade.
In the next few weeks it will become clear which side of history will be chosen Bitcoin.