Recent history suggests that Bitcoin It is becoming more expensive due to military attacks, but there is one unpleasant catch.
A blockchain analyst using the pseudonym Tracer noted the following facts:
- Since the outbreak of armed conflict between Russia and Ukraine in February 2022, BTC increased in price by 40%;
- Following Israel’s strike on Iran in June 2025, the cryptocurrency’s value rose by 25%.
Tracer predicted that the US and Israeli military attack on Iran, which began on February 28, will have a more powerful impact on the Bitcoin market than the 12-day Iran-Israel war of June last year. He predicts BTC will rise 31,3% to $83,367. This forecast is clearly driven by the scale of the current attack on the Islamic Republic.
Bitcoin price fluctuations as charted by Tracer
The bad news for cryptocurrency holders is that the bullish rallies that followed the outbreak of hostilities were short-lived and were replaced by a powerful bearish trend.
In this regard, the analyst Happy Coin News Yuri Savelyev believes that if Bitcoin and benefits from the armed conflict in the Middle East, it will fail to consolidate its gains, and the downward trend that began in October 2025 will return. Therefore, over the next few days, traders should be wary of bull traps and maintain a cool head to avoid succumbing to the fear of missing out.