The recent recovery in the Bitcoin price has prompted the editorial team Happy Coin News Express your opinion on the conditions under which the bearish trend in the BTC market will end in 2026.
The turning point can be judged by the activity of long-term investors who purchased the cryptocurrency between six months and two years ago. They invested in digital assets at an average price of $74,500, which is 9% higher than the current price of $68,090. Accordingly, as long as the coin’s price fluctuates below $74,500, downward pressure on the BTC price from hodlers will persist, as some will choose to exit the market, fearing greater losses or seeking to buy digital assets at the bottom.
Breaking through $74,500 and maintaining a strong hold above it will make Bitcoin investments profitable again for long-term investors and discourage them from selling, as they will believe the bullish trend will resume. Therefore, a break of the $74,500 barrier will signal the end of the downward trend.
Analyst Happy Coin News Yuri Saveliev believes a reversal in the Bitcoin market will take at least another six months, and the end of the bearish trend will be signaled by an increase in the cryptocurrency’s realized market capitalization, which has been declining since 2026. This metric takes into account the value of coins at the time of their last transfer, and it rises due to capital inflows, which are resuming the bullish rally.
Change in Bitcoin’s realized market capitalization (yellow line)